Shara Magomedov vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov — stats-based predictionShara Magomedov vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov — stats-based prediction

Shara Magomedov vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Shara Magomedov

16-1-0
VS
🇷🇺

Abubakar Nurmagomedov

17-4-1
50%10% Draw40%
Magomedov
Nurmagomedov
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Shara Magomedov a 50% edge over Abubakar Nurmagomedov in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Shara Magomedov wins 94% vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov at 77%

Magomedov
10.0
Nurmagomedov
9.3
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

75% stoppage rate vs 35%

Magomedov
9.0
Nurmagomedov
4.2
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 188cm / 182cm, Reach 185cm / ?cm

Magomedov
6.2
Nurmagomedov
3.8
DurabilityWeight: ★★

94% survival rate vs 82%

Magomedov
10.0
Nurmagomedov
9.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

17 bouts vs 22 bouts

Magomedov
8.2
Nurmagomedov
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

32 years old vs 37 years old

Magomedov
8.0
Nurmagomedov
6.5

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.