BREAKINGRyan Garcia vs Vasyl Lomachenko — stats-based predictionBREAKINGRyan Garcia vs Vasyl Lomachenko — stats-based prediction

Ryan Garcia vs Vasyl Lomachenko

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Ryan Garcia

28-2-0
VS
🇺🇦

Vasyl Lomachenko

21-3-0
49%10% Draw41%
Garcia
Lomachenko
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Ryan Garcia a 49% edge over Vasyl Lomachenko in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Ryan Garcia wins 93% vs Vasyl Lomachenko at 88%

Garcia
10.0
Lomachenko
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Garcia
0.0
Lomachenko
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / 170cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Garcia
6.6
Lomachenko
3.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

93% survival rate vs 88%

Garcia
10.0
Lomachenko
9.6
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

28 years old vs 38 years old

Garcia
8.0
Lomachenko
4.8
ExperienceWeight: ★★

30 bouts vs 24 bouts

Garcia
10.0
Lomachenko
8.4
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.