BREAKINGRyan Garcia vs Terence Crawford — stats-based predictionBREAKINGRyan Garcia vs Terence Crawford — stats-based prediction

Ryan Garcia vs Terence Crawford

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Ryan Garcia

28-2-0
VS

Terence Crawford

42-0-0
47%10% Draw43%
Garcia
Crawford
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Ryan Garcia a 47% edge over Terence Crawford in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Ryan Garcia wins 93% vs Terence Crawford at 100%

Garcia
10.0
Crawford
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Garcia
0.0
Crawford
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / 173cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Garcia
6.0
Crawford
4.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

93% survival rate vs 100%

Garcia
10.0
Crawford
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

28 years old vs 39 years old

Garcia
8.0
Crawford
4.4
ExperienceWeight: ★★

30 bouts vs 42 bouts

Garcia
7.7
Crawford
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.