Ryan Garcia vs Junior dos Santos

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Ryan Garcia

28-2-0

🇧🇷

Junior dos Santos

23-10-0

41%10% Draw49%

Garcia

Santos

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Junior dos Santos a 49% edge over Ryan Garcia in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Ryan Garcia wins 93% vs Junior dos Santos at 70%

Garcia

10.0

Santos

8.4

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 70%

Garcia

0.0

Santos

8.3

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / 190cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Garcia

2.6

Santos

7.4

DurabilityWeight: ★★

93% survival rate vs 70%

Garcia

10.0

Santos

7.7

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

28 years old vs 42 years old

Garcia

8.0

Santos

3.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

30 bouts vs 33 bouts

Garcia

9.3

Santos

10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.