BREAKINGRyan Garcia vs Andre Ward — stats-based predictionBREAKINGRyan Garcia vs Andre Ward — stats-based prediction

Ryan Garcia vs Andre Ward

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Ryan Garcia

28-2-0
VS

Andre Ward

32-0-0
45%10% Draw45%
Garcia
Ward
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Andre Ward a 45% edge over Ryan Garcia in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Ryan Garcia wins 93% vs Andre Ward at 100%

Garcia
10.0
Ward
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Garcia
0.0
Ward
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / 185cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Garcia
3.6
Ward
6.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

93% survival rate vs 100%

Garcia
10.0
Ward
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

28 years old vs 42 years old

Garcia
8.0
Ward
3.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

30 bouts vs 32 bouts

Garcia
9.5
Ward
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.