BREAKINGRoyce Gracie vs Rickson Gracie — stats-based predictionBREAKINGRoyce Gracie vs Rickson Gracie — stats-based prediction

Royce Gracie vs Rickson Gracie

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇧🇷

Royce Gracie

15-2-3
VS
🇧🇷

Rickson Gracie

11-0-0
46%10% Draw44%
Gracie
Gracie
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Royce Gracie a 46% edge over Rickson Gracie in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Royce Gracie wins 75% vs Rickson Gracie at 100%

Gracie
9.0
Gracie
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

13% stoppage rate vs 18%

Gracie
1.6
Gracie
2.2
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 183cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Gracie
6.0
Gracie
4.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

90% survival rate vs 100%

Gracie
9.9
Gracie
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

20 bouts vs 11 bouts

Gracie
10.0
Gracie
6.4
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

59 years old vs 67 years old

Gracie
3.0
Gracie
3.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.