BREAKINGRaquel Pennington vs Derrick Lewis — stats-based predictionBREAKINGRaquel Pennington vs Derrick Lewis — stats-based prediction

Raquel Pennington vs Derrick Lewis

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Raquel Pennington

16-9-0
VS

Derrick Lewis

29-13-0
35%6% Draw59%
Pennington
Lewis
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Derrick Lewis a 59% edge over Raquel Pennington in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Raquel Pennington wins 64% vs Derrick Lewis at 69%

Pennington
7.7
Lewis
8.3
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

6% stoppage rate vs 83%

Pennington
0.8
Lewis
9.9
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 170cm / 191cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Pennington
1.0
Lewis
9.2
DurabilityWeight: ★★

64% survival rate vs 69%

Pennington
7.0
Lewis
7.6
ExperienceWeight: ★★

25 bouts vs 42 bouts

Pennington
6.8
Lewis
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 41 years old

Pennington
5.4
Lewis
3.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.