Paddy Pimblett vs Michael Chandler

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇬🇧

Paddy Pimblett

23-4-0

Michael Chandler

23-10-0

42%10% Draw48%

Pimblett

Chandler

Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Michael Chandler a 48% edge over Paddy Pimblett in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Paddy Pimblett wins 85% vs Michael Chandler at 70%

Pimblett

10.0

Chandler

8.4

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

30% stoppage rate vs 48%

Pimblett

3.7

Chandler

5.7

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / 6800cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Pimblett

1.0

Chandler

10.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

85% survival rate vs 70%

Pimblett

9.4

Chandler

7.7

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

31 years old vs 40 years old

Pimblett

8.0

Chandler

3.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

27 bouts vs 33 bouts

Pimblett

8.5

Chandler

10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.