BREAKINGPaddy Pimblett vs Jake Paul — stats-based predictionBREAKINGPaddy Pimblett vs Jake Paul — stats-based prediction

Paddy Pimblett vs Jake Paul

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇬🇧

Paddy Pimblett

23-4-0
VS

Jake Paul

14-2-0
48%10% Draw42%
Pimblett
Paul
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Paddy Pimblett a 48% edge over Jake Paul in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Paddy Pimblett wins 85% vs Jake Paul at 88%

Pimblett
10.0
Paul
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

30% stoppage rate vs 0%

Pimblett
3.7
Paul
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / 183cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Pimblett
4.0
Paul
6.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

85% survival rate vs 88%

Pimblett
9.4
Paul
9.6
ExperienceWeight: ★★

27 bouts vs 16 bouts

Pimblett
10.0
Paul
6.7
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

31 years old vs 29 years old

Pimblett
8.0
Paul
8.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.