BREAKINGPaddy Pimblett vs Alexandre Pantoja — stats-based predictionBREAKINGPaddy Pimblett vs Alexandre Pantoja — stats-based prediction

Paddy Pimblett vs Alexandre Pantoja

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇬🇧

Paddy Pimblett

23-4-0
VS
🇧🇷

Alexandre Pantoja

30-6-0
47%10% Draw43%
Pimblett
Pantoja
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Paddy Pimblett a 47% edge over Alexandre Pantoja in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Paddy Pimblett wins 85% vs Alexandre Pantoja at 83%

Pimblett
10.0
Pantoja
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

30% stoppage rate vs 27%

Pimblett
3.7
Pantoja
3.2
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / 165cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Pimblett
7.0
Pantoja
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

85% survival rate vs 83%

Pimblett
9.4
Pantoja
9.2
ExperienceWeight: ★★

27 bouts vs 36 bouts

Pimblett
8.0
Pantoja
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

31 years old vs 36 years old

Pimblett
8.0
Pantoja
7.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.