Naoya Inoue vs Jason Moloney

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇯🇵

Naoya Inoue

32-0-0

Jason Moloney

31-4-0

45%10% Draw45%

Inoue

Moloney

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Jason Moloney a 45% edge over Naoya Inoue in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Naoya Inoue wins 100% vs Jason Moloney at 89%

Inoue

10.0

Moloney

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Inoue

0.0

Moloney

0.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 163cm / 165cm, Reach ?cm / 165cm

Inoue

4.6

Moloney

5.4

DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 89%

Inoue

10.0

Moloney

9.7

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

33 years old vs 30 years old

Inoue

9.9

Moloney

8.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

32 bouts vs 35 bouts

Inoue

9.3

Moloney

10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.