BREAKINGMike Tyson vs Jessie Vargas — stats-based predictionBREAKINGMike Tyson vs Jessie Vargas — stats-based prediction

Mike Tyson vs Jessie Vargas

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Mike Tyson

59-7-1
VS

Jessie Vargas

35-4-2
45%10% Draw45%
Tyson
Vargas
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Jessie Vargas a 45% edge over Mike Tyson in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Mike Tyson wins 88% vs Jessie Vargas at 85%

Tyson
10.0
Vargas
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Tyson
0.0
Vargas
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 179cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Tyson
5.2
Vargas
4.8
DurabilityWeight: ★★

90% survival rate vs 90%

Tyson
9.9
Vargas
9.9
ExperienceWeight: ★★

67 bouts vs 41 bouts

Tyson
10.0
Vargas
6.9
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

60 years old vs 37 years old

Tyson
3.0
Vargas
6.1
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.