BREAKINGMerab Dvalishvili vs Khabib Nurmagomedov — stats-based predictionBREAKINGMerab Dvalishvili vs Khabib Nurmagomedov — stats-based prediction

Merab Dvalishvili vs Khabib Nurmagomedov

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇬🇪

Merab Dvalishvili

21-5-0
VS
🇷🇺

Khabib Nurmagomedov

29-0-0
41%10% Draw49%
Dvalishvili
Nurmagomedov
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Khabib Nurmagomedov a 49% edge over Merab Dvalishvili in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Merab Dvalishvili wins 81% vs Khabib Nurmagomedov at 100%

Dvalishvili
9.7
Nurmagomedov
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

14% stoppage rate vs 28%

Dvalishvili
1.7
Nurmagomedov
3.3
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 168cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Dvalishvili
3.0
Nurmagomedov
7.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

81% survival rate vs 100%

Dvalishvili
8.9
Nurmagomedov
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

35 years old vs 38 years old

Dvalishvili
7.7
Nurmagomedov
5.4
ExperienceWeight: ★★

26 bouts vs 29 bouts

Dvalishvili
9.2
Nurmagomedov
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.