BREAKINGMerab Dvalishvili vs Alexander Volkanovski — stats-based predictionBREAKINGMerab Dvalishvili vs Alexander Volkanovski — stats-based prediction

Merab Dvalishvili vs Alexander Volkanovski

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇬🇪

Merab Dvalishvili

21-5-0
VS
🇦🇺

Alexander Volkanovski

28-4-0
42%10% Draw48%
Dvalishvili
Volkanovski
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Alexander Volkanovski a 48% edge over Merab Dvalishvili in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Merab Dvalishvili wins 81% vs Alexander Volkanovski at 88%

Dvalishvili
9.7
Volkanovski
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

14% stoppage rate vs 46%

Dvalishvili
1.7
Volkanovski
5.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

81% survival rate vs 88%

Dvalishvili
8.9
Volkanovski
9.6
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 168cm / 168cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Dvalishvili
5.0
Volkanovski
5.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

35 years old vs 38 years old

Dvalishvili
7.7
Volkanovski
5.4
ExperienceWeight: ★★

26 bouts vs 32 bouts

Dvalishvili
8.5
Volkanovski
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.