Merab Dvalishvili vs Alexa Grasso

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇬🇪

Merab Dvalishvili

21-5-0

🇲🇽

Alexa Grasso

17-5-1

45%10% Draw45%

Dvalishvili

Grasso

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Alexa Grasso a 45% edge over Merab Dvalishvili in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Merab Dvalishvili wins 81% vs Alexa Grasso at 74%

Dvalishvili

9.7

Grasso

8.9

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

14% stoppage rate vs 29%

Dvalishvili

1.7

Grasso

3.5

DurabilityWeight: ★★

81% survival rate vs 78%

Dvalishvili

8.9

Grasso

8.6

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 168cm / ?cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Dvalishvili

5.0

Grasso

5.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

26 bouts vs 23 bouts

Dvalishvili

10.0

Grasso

9.1

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

35 years old vs 33 years old

Dvalishvili

7.7

Grasso

8.0

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.