Marlon Vera vs Sharabutdin Magomedov — stats-based predictionMarlon Vera vs Sharabutdin Magomedov — stats-based prediction

Marlon Vera vs Sharabutdin Magomedov

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Marlon Vera

23-12-1
VS
🇷🇺

Sharabutdin Magomedov

16-1-0
41%10% Draw49%
Vera
Magomedov
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Sharabutdin Magomedov a 49% edge over Marlon Vera in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Marlon Vera wins 64% vs Sharabutdin Magomedov at 94%

Vera
7.7
Magomedov
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

35% stoppage rate vs 75%

Vera
4.2
Magomedov
9.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

67% survival rate vs 94%

Vera
7.3
Magomedov
10.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height ?cm / 188cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Vera
5.0
Magomedov
5.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

36 bouts vs 17 bouts

Vera
10.0
Magomedov
5.8
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

33 years old vs 32 years old

Vera
9.6
Magomedov
8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.