Manny Pacquiao vs Keith Thurman

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇵🇭

Manny Pacquiao

73-8-3

Keith Thurman

34-2-0

45%10% Draw45%

Pacquiao

Thurman

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Keith Thurman a 45% edge over Manny Pacquiao in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Manny Pacquiao wins 87% vs Keith Thurman at 94%

Pacquiao

10.0

Thurman

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Pacquiao

0.0

Thurman

0.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 166cm / 171cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Pacquiao

4.0

Thurman

6.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

90% survival rate vs 94%

Pacquiao

10.0

Thurman

10.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

84 bouts vs 36 bouts

Pacquiao

10.0

Thurman

5.4

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

47 years old vs 37 years old

Pacquiao

3.0

Thurman

5.5

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.