Manny Pacquiao vs Jose Valenzuela — stats-based predictionManny Pacquiao vs Jose Valenzuela — stats-based prediction

Manny Pacquiao vs Jose Valenzuela

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH
🇵🇭

Manny Pacquiao

73-8-3
VS

Jose Valenzuela

18-3-0
43%10% Draw47%
Pacquiao
Valenzuela
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Jose Valenzuela a 47% edge over Manny Pacquiao in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Manny Pacquiao wins 87% vs Jose Valenzuela at 86%

Pacquiao
10.0
Valenzuela
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Pacquiao
0.0
Valenzuela
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 166cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / 178cm

Pacquiao
2.6
Valenzuela
7.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

90% survival rate vs 86%

Pacquiao
10.0
Valenzuela
9.4
ExperienceWeight: ★★

84 bouts vs 21 bouts

Pacquiao
10.0
Valenzuela
4.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

47 years old vs 27 years old

Pacquiao
3.0
Valenzuela
8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.