BREAKINGLeon Edwards vs Paddy Pimblett — stats-based predictionBREAKINGLeon Edwards vs Paddy Pimblett — stats-based prediction

Leon Edwards vs Paddy Pimblett

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇬🇧

Leon Edwards

22-5-0
VS
🇬🇧

Paddy Pimblett

23-4-0
47%10% Draw43%
Edwards
Pimblett
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Leon Edwards a 47% edge over Paddy Pimblett in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Leon Edwards wins 81% vs Paddy Pimblett at 85%

Edwards
9.8
Pimblett
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

32% stoppage rate vs 30%

Edwards
3.8
Pimblett
3.7
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 188cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Edwards
7.0
Pimblett
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

81% survival rate vs 85%

Edwards
9.0
Pimblett
9.4
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

35 years old vs 31 years old

Edwards
8.3
Pimblett
8.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

27 bouts vs 27 bouts

Edwards
10.0
Pimblett
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.