BREAKINGLeon Edwards vs Khabib Nurmagomedov — stats-based predictionBREAKINGLeon Edwards vs Khabib Nurmagomedov — stats-based prediction

Leon Edwards vs Khabib Nurmagomedov

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇬🇧

Leon Edwards

22-5-0
VS
🇷🇺

Khabib Nurmagomedov

29-0-0
48%10% Draw42%
Edwards
Nurmagomedov
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Leon Edwards a 48% edge over Khabib Nurmagomedov in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Leon Edwards wins 81% vs Khabib Nurmagomedov at 100%

Edwards
9.8
Nurmagomedov
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

32% stoppage rate vs 28%

Edwards
3.8
Nurmagomedov
3.3
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 188cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Edwards
7.0
Nurmagomedov
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

81% survival rate vs 100%

Edwards
9.0
Nurmagomedov
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

35 years old vs 38 years old

Edwards
8.3
Nurmagomedov
5.4
ExperienceWeight: ★★

27 bouts vs 29 bouts

Edwards
9.4
Nurmagomedov
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.