Leon Edwards vs Conor McGregor

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇬🇧

Leon Edwards

22-5-0

🇮🇪

Conor McGregor

22-6-0

45%10% Draw45%

Edwards

McGregor

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Conor McGregor a 45% edge over Leon Edwards in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Leon Edwards wins 81% vs Conor McGregor at 79%

Edwards

9.8

McGregor

9.4

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

32% stoppage rate vs 86%

Edwards

3.8

McGregor

10.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 188cm / 174cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Edwards

7.0

McGregor

3.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

81% survival rate vs 79%

Edwards

9.0

McGregor

8.6

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

35 years old vs 38 years old

Edwards

8.4

McGregor

5.2

ExperienceWeight: ★★

27 bouts vs 28 bouts

Edwards

9.7

McGregor

10.0

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.