BREAKINGLeon Edwards vs Colby Covington — stats-based predictionBREAKINGLeon Edwards vs Colby Covington — stats-based prediction

Leon Edwards vs Colby Covington

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇬🇧

Leon Edwards

22-5-0
VS

Colby Covington

17-5-0
50%10% Draw40%
Edwards
Covington
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Leon Edwards a 50% edge over Colby Covington in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Leon Edwards wins 81% vs Colby Covington at 77%

Edwards
9.8
Covington
9.3
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

32% stoppage rate vs 24%

Edwards
3.8
Covington
2.8
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 188cm / 180cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Edwards
6.6
Covington
3.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

81% survival rate vs 77%

Edwards
9.0
Covington
8.5
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

35 years old vs 38 years old

Edwards
8.3
Covington
4.8
ExperienceWeight: ★★

27 bouts vs 22 bouts

Edwards
10.0
Covington
8.5
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.