BREAKINGKhamzat Chimaev vs Kamaru Usman — stats-based predictionBREAKINGKhamzat Chimaev vs Kamaru Usman — stats-based prediction

Khamzat Chimaev vs Kamaru Usman

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Khamzat Chimaev

15-0-0
VS

Kamaru Usman

21-4-0
47%10% Draw43%
Chimaev
Usman
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Khamzat Chimaev a 47% edge over Kamaru Usman in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Khamzat Chimaev wins 100% vs Kamaru Usman at 84%

Chimaev
10.0
Usman
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

40% stoppage rate vs 43%

Chimaev
4.8
Usman
5.1
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 188cm / 183cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Chimaev
6.0
Usman
4.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 84%

Chimaev
10.0
Usman
9.2
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

32 years old vs 39 years old

Chimaev
8.0
Usman
4.1
ExperienceWeight: ★★

15 bouts vs 25 bouts

Chimaev
6.8
Usman
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.