BREAKINGKhabib Nurmagomedov vs Umar Nurmagomedov — stats-based predictionBREAKINGKhabib Nurmagomedov vs Umar Nurmagomedov — stats-based prediction

Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Umar Nurmagomedov

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇷🇺

Khabib Nurmagomedov

29-0-0
VS
🇷🇺

Umar Nurmagomedov

20-1-0
47%10% Draw43%
Nurmagomedov
Nurmagomedov
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Khabib Nurmagomedov a 47% edge over Umar Nurmagomedov in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Khabib Nurmagomedov wins 100% vs Umar Nurmagomedov at 95%

Nurmagomedov
10.0
Nurmagomedov
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

28% stoppage rate vs 10%

Nurmagomedov
3.3
Nurmagomedov
1.2
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / 173cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Nurmagomedov
6.0
Nurmagomedov
4.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 95%

Nurmagomedov
10.0
Nurmagomedov
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 30 years old

Nurmagomedov
5.4
Nurmagomedov
8.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

29 bouts vs 21 bouts

Nurmagomedov
10.0
Nurmagomedov
7.8
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.