BREAKINGJustin Gaethje vs Servílio de Oliveira — stats-based predictionBREAKINGJustin Gaethje vs Servílio de Oliveira — stats-based prediction

Justin Gaethje vs Servílio de Oliveira

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Justin Gaethje

27-5-0
VS
🇧🇷

Servílio de Oliveira

19-0-0
55%8% Draw37%
Gaethje
Oliveira
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Justin Gaethje a 55% edge over Servílio de Oliveira in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Justin Gaethje wins 84% vs Servílio de Oliveira at 100%

Gaethje
10.0
Oliveira
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

74% stoppage rate vs 0%

Gaethje
8.9
Oliveira
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 180cm / 160cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Gaethje
7.0
Oliveira
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

84% survival rate vs 100%

Gaethje
9.3
Oliveira
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

32 bouts vs 19 bouts

Gaethje
10.0
Oliveira
6.8
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 78 years old

Gaethje
5.6
Oliveira
3.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.