Jorge Masvidal vs Shara Magomedov

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Jorge Masvidal

35-17-0

Shara Magomedov

16-1-0

39%10% Draw51%

Masvidal

Magomedov

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Shara Magomedov a 51% edge over Jorge Masvidal in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Jorge Masvidal wins 67% vs Shara Magomedov at 94%

Masvidal

8.1

Magomedov

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

46% stoppage rate vs 75%

Masvidal

5.5

Magomedov

9.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 180cm / 188cm, Reach ?cm / 185cm

Masvidal

3.4

Magomedov

6.6

DurabilityWeight: ★★

67% survival rate vs 94%

Masvidal

7.4

Magomedov

10.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

52 bouts vs 17 bouts

Masvidal

10.0

Magomedov

4.6

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

42 years old vs 32 years old

Masvidal

3.0

Magomedov

8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.