Jorge Masvidal vs Christian Edwards — stats-based predictionJorge Masvidal vs Christian Edwards — stats-based prediction

Jorge Masvidal vs Christian Edwards

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Jorge Masvidal

35-17-0
VS

Christian Edwards

19-2-0
45%10% Draw45%
Masvidal
Edwards
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Christian Edwards a 45% edge over Jorge Masvidal in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Jorge Masvidal wins 67% vs Christian Edwards at 90%

Masvidal
8.1
Edwards
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

46% stoppage rate vs 16%

Masvidal
5.5
Edwards
1.9
DurabilityWeight: ★★

67% survival rate vs 90%

Masvidal
7.4
Edwards
10.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 180cm / 175cm, Reach ?cm / 183cm

Masvidal
6.0
Edwards
4.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

42 years old vs 33 years old

Masvidal
3.0
Edwards
9.5
ExperienceWeight: ★★

52 bouts vs 21 bouts

Masvidal
10.0
Edwards
5.2

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.