BREAKINGJessie Vargas vs Anthony Joshua — stats-based predictionBREAKINGJessie Vargas vs Anthony Joshua — stats-based prediction

Jessie Vargas vs Anthony Joshua

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Jessie Vargas

35-4-2
VS
🇬🇧

Anthony Joshua

33-4-0
41%10% Draw49%
Vargas
Joshua
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Anthony Joshua a 49% edge over Jessie Vargas in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Jessie Vargas wins 85% vs Anthony Joshua at 89%

Vargas
10.0
Joshua
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Vargas
0.0
Joshua
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / 198cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Vargas
1.0
Joshua
9.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

90% survival rate vs 89%

Vargas
9.9
Joshua
9.8
ExperienceWeight: ★★

41 bouts vs 37 bouts

Vargas
10.0
Joshua
9.2
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 37 years old

Vargas
6.1
Joshua
6.5
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.