Israel Adesanya vs Nassourdine Imavov — stats-based predictionIsrael Adesanya vs Nassourdine Imavov — stats-based prediction

Israel Adesanya vs Nassourdine Imavov

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇳🇿

Israel Adesanya

24-6-0
VS
🇷🇺

Nassourdine Imavov

17-4-0
47%10% Draw43%
Adesanya
Imavov
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Israel Adesanya a 47% edge over Nassourdine Imavov in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Israel Adesanya wins 80% vs Nassourdine Imavov at 81%

Adesanya
9.6
Imavov
9.7
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

67% stoppage rate vs 41%

Adesanya
8.0
Imavov
4.9
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 193cm / 191cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Adesanya
5.4
Imavov
4.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

80% survival rate vs 81%

Adesanya
8.8
Imavov
8.9
ExperienceWeight: ★★

30 bouts vs 21 bouts

Adesanya
10.0
Imavov
7.6
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 31 years old

Adesanya
6.2
Imavov
8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.