Israel Adesanya vs Nassourdine Imavov
Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability
PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇳🇿
Israel Adesanya
24-6-0VS
🇷🇺
Nassourdine Imavov
17-4-047%10% Draw43%
Adesanya
Imavov
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO
Our stats-based model gives Israel Adesanya a 47% edge over Nassourdine Imavov in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.
Factor Analysis
Win RateWeight: ★★★
Israel Adesanya wins 80% vs Nassourdine Imavov at 81%
Adesanya
9.6
Imavov
9.7
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★
67% stoppage rate vs 41%
Adesanya
8.0
Imavov
4.9
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★
Height 193cm / 191cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm
Adesanya
5.4
Imavov
4.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★
80% survival rate vs 81%
Adesanya
8.8
Imavov
8.9
ExperienceWeight: ★★
30 bouts vs 21 bouts
Adesanya
10.0
Imavov
7.6
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★
37 years old vs 31 years old
Adesanya
6.2
Imavov
8.0
Ask about this fight
AI · fact-anchoredGrounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.