BREAKINGIsrael Adesanya vs Dricus du Plessis — stats-based predictionBREAKINGIsrael Adesanya vs Dricus du Plessis — stats-based prediction

Israel Adesanya vs Dricus du Plessis

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇳🇿

Israel Adesanya

24-6-0
VS
🇿🇦

Dricus du Plessis

23-3-0
48%10% Draw42%
Adesanya
Plessis
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Israel Adesanya a 48% edge over Dricus du Plessis in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Israel Adesanya wins 80% vs Dricus du Plessis at 88%

Adesanya
9.6
Plessis
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

67% stoppage rate vs 39%

Adesanya
8.0
Plessis
4.7
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 193cm / 185cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Adesanya
6.6
Plessis
3.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

80% survival rate vs 88%

Adesanya
8.8
Plessis
9.7
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 32 years old

Adesanya
6.3
Plessis
8.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

30 bouts vs 26 bouts

Adesanya
10.0
Plessis
8.9
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.