Israel Adesanya vs Conah Walker

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇳🇿

Israel Adesanya

24-6-0

Conah Walker

22-3-1

49%10% Draw41%

Adesanya

Walker

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Israel Adesanya a 49% edge over Conah Walker in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Israel Adesanya wins 80% vs Conah Walker at 85%

Adesanya

9.6

Walker

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

67% stoppage rate vs 0%

Adesanya

8.0

Walker

0.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

80% survival rate vs 88%

Adesanya

8.8

Walker

9.7

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 193cm / ?cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Adesanya

5.0

Walker

5.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 31 years old

Adesanya

6.1

Walker

8.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

30 bouts vs 26 bouts

Adesanya

10.0

Walker

8.9

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.