BREAKINGIslam Makhachev vs Petr Yan — stats-based predictionBREAKINGIslam Makhachev vs Petr Yan — stats-based prediction

Islam Makhachev vs Petr Yan

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇷🇺

Islam Makhachev

28-1-0
VS
🇷🇺

Petr Yan

20-4-0
46%10% Draw44%
Makhachev
Yan
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Islam Makhachev a 46% edge over Petr Yan in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Islam Makhachev wins 97% vs Petr Yan at 83%

Makhachev
10.0
Yan
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

18% stoppage rate vs 35%

Makhachev
2.1
Yan
4.2
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / 171cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Makhachev
6.4
Yan
3.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

97% survival rate vs 83%

Makhachev
10.0
Yan
9.2
ExperienceWeight: ★★

29 bouts vs 24 bouts

Makhachev
10.0
Yan
8.6
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

34 years old vs 33 years old

Makhachev
8.5
Yan
9.8
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.