Islam Makhachev vs Leon Edwards

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇷🇺

Islam Makhachev

28-1-0

🇬🇧

Leon Edwards

22-5-0

43%10% Draw47%

Makhachev

Edwards

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Leon Edwards a 47% edge over Islam Makhachev in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Islam Makhachev wins 97% vs Leon Edwards at 81%

Makhachev

10.0

Edwards

9.8

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

18% stoppage rate vs 32%

Makhachev

2.1

Edwards

3.8

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / 188cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Makhachev

3.0

Edwards

7.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

97% survival rate vs 81%

Makhachev

10.0

Edwards

9.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

29 bouts vs 27 bouts

Makhachev

10.0

Edwards

9.4

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

34 years old vs 35 years old

Makhachev

8.5

Edwards

8.3

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.