BREAKINGIslam Makhachev vs Ian Garry — stats-based predictionBREAKINGIslam Makhachev vs Ian Garry — stats-based prediction

Islam Makhachev vs Ian Garry

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇷🇺

Islam Makhachev

28-1-0
VS
🇮🇪

Ian Garry

17-1-0
45%10% Draw45%
Makhachev
Garry
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Ian Garry a 45% edge over Islam Makhachev in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Islam Makhachev wins 97% vs Ian Garry at 94%

Makhachev
10.0
Garry
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

18% stoppage rate vs 41%

Makhachev
2.1
Garry
4.9
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / ?cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Makhachev
5.0
Garry
5.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

97% survival rate vs 94%

Makhachev
10.0
Garry
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

29 bouts vs 18 bouts

Makhachev
10.0
Garry
7.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

34 years old vs 28 years old

Makhachev
8.5
Garry
8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.