BREAKINGIslam Makhachev vs Alexander Volkanovski — stats-based predictionBREAKINGIslam Makhachev vs Alexander Volkanovski — stats-based prediction

Islam Makhachev vs Alexander Volkanovski

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇷🇺

Islam Makhachev

28-1-0
VS
🇦🇺

Alexander Volkanovski

28-4-0
46%10% Draw44%
Makhachev
Volkanovski
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Islam Makhachev a 46% edge over Alexander Volkanovski in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Islam Makhachev wins 97% vs Alexander Volkanovski at 88%

Makhachev
10.0
Volkanovski
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

18% stoppage rate vs 46%

Makhachev
2.1
Volkanovski
5.6
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / 168cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Makhachev
7.0
Volkanovski
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

97% survival rate vs 88%

Makhachev
10.0
Volkanovski
9.6
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

34 years old vs 38 years old

Makhachev
8.5
Volkanovski
5.4
ExperienceWeight: ★★

29 bouts vs 32 bouts

Makhachev
9.3
Volkanovski
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.