Ilia Topuria vs Ufc Pereira

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Ilia Topuria

17-0-0

Ufc Pereira

13-3-0

41%10% Draw49%

Topuria

Pereira

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Ufc Pereira a 49% edge over Ilia Topuria in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Ilia Topuria wins 100% vs Ufc Pereira at 81%

Topuria

10.0

Pereira

9.8

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

41% stoppage rate vs 85%

Topuria

4.9

Pereira

10.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 170cm / 193cm, Reach 175cm / ?cm

Topuria

1.0

Pereira

9.6

DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 81%

Topuria

10.0

Pereira

8.9

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

29 years old vs 39 years old

Topuria

8.0

Pereira

4.1

ExperienceWeight: ★★

17 bouts vs 16 bouts

Topuria

10.0

Pereira

9.5

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.