Ilia Topuria vs Pernell Whitaker — stats-based predictionIlia Topuria vs Pernell Whitaker — stats-based prediction

Ilia Topuria vs Pernell Whitaker

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Ilia Topuria

17-0-0
VS

Pernell Whitaker

46-4-1
49%10% Draw41%
Topuria
Whitaker
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Ilia Topuria a 49% edge over Pernell Whitaker in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Ilia Topuria wins 100% vs Pernell Whitaker at 90%

Topuria
10.0
Whitaker
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

41% stoppage rate vs 0%

Topuria
4.9
Whitaker
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 170cm / 168cm, Reach 175cm / ?cm

Topuria
5.4
Whitaker
4.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 92%

Topuria
10.0
Whitaker
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

17 bouts vs 51 bouts

Topuria
4.7
Whitaker
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

29 years old vs 62 years old

Topuria
8.0
Whitaker
3.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.