Ilia Topuria vs Ezzard Charles

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Ilia Topuria

17-0-0

Ezzard Charles

121-25-1

45%10% Draw45%

Topuria

Charles

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Ezzard Charles a 45% edge over Ilia Topuria in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Ilia Topuria wins 100% vs Ezzard Charles at 82%

Topuria

10.0

Charles

9.9

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

41% stoppage rate vs 0%

Topuria

4.9

Charles

0.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 170cm / 183cm, Reach 175cm / ?cm

Topuria

2.4

Charles

7.6

DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 83%

Topuria

10.0

Charles

9.1

ExperienceWeight: ★★

17 bouts vs 147 bouts

Topuria

2.9

Charles

10.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

29 years old vs 105 years old

Topuria

8.0

Charles

3.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.