Holly Holm vs Julian Rodriguez
Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability
PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH
Holly Holm
15-7-0VS
Julian Rodriguez
61-6-042%10% Draw48%
Holm
Rodriguez
Predicted outcome: Decision
Our stats-based model gives Julian Rodriguez a 48% edge over Holly Holm in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.
Factor Analysis
Win RateWeight: ★★★
Holly Holm wins 68% vs Julian Rodriguez at 91%
Holm
8.2
Rodriguez
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★
53% stoppage rate vs 0%
Holm
6.4
Rodriguez
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★
Height 173cm / 180cm, Reach ?cm / 185cm
Holm
3.6
Rodriguez
6.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★
68% survival rate vs 91%
Holm
7.5
Rodriguez
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★
22 bouts vs 67 bouts
Holm
4.6
Rodriguez
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★
45 years old vs 66 years old
Holm
3.0
Rodriguez
3.0
Ask about this fight
AI · fact-anchoredGrounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.