Holly Holm vs Julian Rodriguez — stats-based predictionHolly Holm vs Julian Rodriguez — stats-based prediction

Holly Holm vs Julian Rodriguez

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Holly Holm

15-7-0
VS

Julian Rodriguez

61-6-0
42%10% Draw48%
Holm
Rodriguez
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Julian Rodriguez a 48% edge over Holly Holm in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Holly Holm wins 68% vs Julian Rodriguez at 91%

Holm
8.2
Rodriguez
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

53% stoppage rate vs 0%

Holm
6.4
Rodriguez
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 173cm / 180cm, Reach ?cm / 185cm

Holm
3.6
Rodriguez
6.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

68% survival rate vs 91%

Holm
7.5
Rodriguez
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

22 bouts vs 67 bouts

Holm
4.6
Rodriguez
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

45 years old vs 66 years old

Holm
3.0
Rodriguez
3.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.