BREAKINGHenry Cejudo vs Ryan Garcia — stats-based predictionBREAKINGHenry Cejudo vs Ryan Garcia — stats-based prediction

Henry Cejudo vs Ryan Garcia

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Henry Cejudo

16-6-0
VS

Ryan Garcia

28-2-0
41%10% Draw49%
Cejudo
Garcia
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Ryan Garcia a 49% edge over Henry Cejudo in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Henry Cejudo wins 73% vs Ryan Garcia at 93%

Cejudo
8.7
Garcia
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

50% stoppage rate vs 0%

Cejudo
6.0
Garcia
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 163cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Cejudo
2.0
Garcia
8.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

73% survival rate vs 93%

Cejudo
8.0
Garcia
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

39 years old vs 28 years old

Cejudo
3.8
Garcia
8.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

22 bouts vs 30 bouts

Cejudo
7.9
Garcia
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.