BREAKINGFrancis Ngannou vs Tyson Fury — stats-based predictionBREAKINGFrancis Ngannou vs Tyson Fury — stats-based prediction

Francis Ngannou vs Tyson Fury

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇨🇲

Francis Ngannou

18-3-0
VS
🇬🇧

Tyson Fury

38-2-1
45%10% Draw45%
Ngannou
Fury
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Tyson Fury a 45% edge over Francis Ngannou in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Francis Ngannou wins 86% vs Tyson Fury at 93%

Ngannou
10.0
Fury
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

72% stoppage rate vs 0%

Ngannou
8.7
Fury
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 193cm / 206cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Ngannou
2.4
Fury
7.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

86% survival rate vs 95%

Ngannou
9.4
Fury
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

21 bouts vs 41 bouts

Ngannou
6.1
Fury
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

40 years old vs 38 years old

Ngannou
3.4
Fury
5.3
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.