BREAKINGFrancis Ngannou vs Oleksandr Usyk — stats-based predictionBREAKINGFrancis Ngannou vs Oleksandr Usyk — stats-based prediction

Francis Ngannou vs Oleksandr Usyk

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇨🇲

Francis Ngannou

18-3-0
VS
🇺🇦

Oleksandr Usyk

24-0-0
50%10% Draw40%
Ngannou
Usyk
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Francis Ngannou a 50% edge over Oleksandr Usyk in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Francis Ngannou wins 86% vs Oleksandr Usyk at 100%

Ngannou
10.0
Usyk
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

72% stoppage rate vs 0%

Ngannou
8.7
Usyk
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 193cm / 191cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Ngannou
5.4
Usyk
4.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

86% survival rate vs 100%

Ngannou
9.4
Usyk
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

21 bouts vs 24 bouts

Ngannou
9.0
Usyk
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

40 years old vs 39 years old

Ngannou
3.4
Usyk
3.7
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.