BREAKINGFrancis Ngannou vs Jake Paul — stats-based predictionBREAKINGFrancis Ngannou vs Jake Paul — stats-based prediction

Francis Ngannou vs Jake Paul

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇨🇲

Francis Ngannou

18-3-0
VS

Jake Paul

14-2-0
51%10% Draw39%
Ngannou
Paul
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Francis Ngannou a 51% edge over Jake Paul in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Francis Ngannou wins 86% vs Jake Paul at 88%

Ngannou
10.0
Paul
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

72% stoppage rate vs 0%

Ngannou
8.7
Paul
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 193cm / 183cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Ngannou
7.0
Paul
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

86% survival rate vs 88%

Ngannou
9.4
Paul
9.6
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

40 years old vs 29 years old

Ngannou
3.4
Paul
8.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

21 bouts vs 16 bouts

Ngannou
10.0
Paul
8.1
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.