Francis Ngannou vs Deontay Wilder

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇨🇲

Francis Ngannou

18-3-0

Deontay Wilder

50-4-1

47%10% Draw43%

Ngannou

Wilder

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Francis Ngannou a 47% edge over Deontay Wilder in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Francis Ngannou wins 86% vs Deontay Wilder at 91%

Ngannou

10.0

Wilder

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

72% stoppage rate vs 0%

Ngannou

8.7

Wilder

0.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 193cm / 202cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Ngannou

3.2

Wilder

6.8

DurabilityWeight: ★★

86% survival rate vs 93%

Ngannou

9.4

Wilder

10.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

21 bouts vs 55 bouts

Ngannou

5.1

Wilder

10.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

40 years old vs 40 years old

Ngannou

3.4

Wilder

3.0

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.