BREAKINGFrancis Ngannou vs Ciryl Gane — stats-based predictionBREAKINGFrancis Ngannou vs Ciryl Gane — stats-based prediction

Francis Ngannou vs Ciryl Gane

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇨🇲

Francis Ngannou

18-3-0
VS
🇫🇷

Ciryl Gane

13-2-0
46%10% Draw44%
Ngannou
Gane
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Francis Ngannou a 46% edge over Ciryl Gane in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Francis Ngannou wins 86% vs Ciryl Gane at 87%

Ngannou
10.0
Gane
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

72% stoppage rate vs 46%

Ngannou
8.7
Gane
5.5
DurabilityWeight: ★★

86% survival rate vs 87%

Ngannou
9.4
Gane
9.5
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 193cm / 193cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Ngannou
5.0
Gane
5.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

40 years old vs 36 years old

Ngannou
3.4
Gane
7.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

21 bouts vs 15 bouts

Ngannou
10.0
Gane
7.7
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.