BREAKINGForrest Griffin vs Stephan Bonnar — stats-based predictionBREAKINGForrest Griffin vs Stephan Bonnar — stats-based prediction

Forrest Griffin vs Stephan Bonnar

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Forrest Griffin

19-7-0
VS

Stephan Bonnar

15-9-0
47%10% Draw43%
Griffin
Bonnar
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Forrest Griffin a 47% edge over Stephan Bonnar in this matchup. The prediction is driven by win rate as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Forrest Griffin wins 73% vs Stephan Bonnar at 63%

Griffin
8.8
Bonnar
7.5
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

21% stoppage rate vs 20%

Griffin
2.5
Bonnar
2.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

73% survival rate vs 63%

Griffin
8.0
Bonnar
6.9
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 191cm / 193cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Griffin
4.6
Bonnar
5.4
ExperienceWeight: ★★

26 bouts vs 24 bouts

Griffin
10.0
Bonnar
9.4
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

47 years old vs 49 years old

Griffin
3.0
Bonnar
3.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.