Floyd Mayweather vs David Benavidez — stats-based predictionFloyd Mayweather vs David Benavidez — stats-based prediction

Floyd Mayweather vs David Benavidez

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Floyd Mayweather

50-0-0
VS

David Benavidez

31-0-0
36%8% Draw56%
Mayweather
Benavidez
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives David Benavidez a 56% edge over Floyd Mayweather in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Floyd Mayweather wins 100% vs David Benavidez at 100%

Mayweather
10.0
Benavidez
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 81%

Mayweather
0.0
Benavidez
9.7
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 170cm / 185cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Mayweather
2.0
Benavidez
8.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 100%

Mayweather
10.0
Benavidez
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

49 years old vs 29 years old

Mayweather
3.0
Benavidez
8.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

50 bouts vs 31 bouts

Mayweather
10.0
Benavidez
7.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.