BREAKINGEzzard Charles vs Khabib Nurmagomedov — stats-based predictionBREAKINGEzzard Charles vs Khabib Nurmagomedov — stats-based prediction

Ezzard Charles vs Khabib Nurmagomedov

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Ezzard Charles

121-25-1
VS
🇷🇺

Khabib Nurmagomedov

29-0-0
45%10% Draw45%
Charles
Nurmagomedov
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Khabib Nurmagomedov a 45% edge over Ezzard Charles in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Ezzard Charles wins 82% vs Khabib Nurmagomedov at 100%

Charles
9.9
Nurmagomedov
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 28%

Charles
0.0
Nurmagomedov
3.3
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 183cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Charles
6.0
Nurmagomedov
4.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

83% survival rate vs 100%

Charles
9.1
Nurmagomedov
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

147 bouts vs 29 bouts

Charles
10.0
Nurmagomedov
3.6
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

105 years old vs 38 years old

Charles
3.0
Nurmagomedov
5.4
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.