Ezzard Charles vs Ilia Topuria

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Ezzard Charles

121-25-1

Ilia Topuria

17-0-0

44%10% Draw46%

Charles

Topuria

Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Ilia Topuria a 46% edge over Ezzard Charles in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Ezzard Charles wins 82% vs Ilia Topuria at 100%

Charles

9.9

Topuria

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 41%

Charles

0.0

Topuria

4.9

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 183cm / 170cm, Reach ?cm / 175cm

Charles

7.0

Topuria

3.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

83% survival rate vs 100%

Charles

9.1

Topuria

10.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

147 bouts vs 17 bouts

Charles

10.0

Topuria

2.9

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

105 years old vs 29 years old

Charles

3.0

Topuria

8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.