Ezzard Charles vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Ezzard Charles

121-25-1

🇷🇺

Abubakar Nurmagomedov

17-4-1

44%10% Draw46%

Charles

Nurmagomedov

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Abubakar Nurmagomedov a 46% edge over Ezzard Charles in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Ezzard Charles wins 82% vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov at 77%

Charles

9.9

Nurmagomedov

9.3

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 35%

Charles

0.0

Nurmagomedov

4.2

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 183cm / 182cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Charles

5.2

Nurmagomedov

4.8

DurabilityWeight: ★★

83% survival rate vs 82%

Charles

9.1

Nurmagomedov

9.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

147 bouts vs 22 bouts

Charles

10.0

Nurmagomedov

3.2

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

105 years old vs 37 years old

Charles

3.0

Nurmagomedov

6.5

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.